Bechtol was disturbed by Trump’s behavior that led to the Capitol riot on Jan. Richard Bechtol, a 31-year-old Republican voter in Columbus, Ohio, said he would back either DeSantis or Sen. Still, many Republicans who favor someone else in a primary would nonetheless rally behind Trump if he won the nomination. 6, the whole thing - I just lost all respect for him.” “All the garbage he’s been talking about, the lies, Jan. “Unlike all these other people who believe every word he says, I’m done,” Abreu said.
Kenneth Abreu, a 62-year-old pharmaceutical executive from Pennsylvania, said he had voted Republican for three decades but would support Biden instead of voting again for Trump. In 2020, 9% of Republicans voted for someone other than Trump, while Biden lost just 4% of Democrats, according to AP VoteCast, a large study of the 2020 electorate by NORC at the University of Chicago for The Associated Press. That compared with 8% of Democrats who said they would similarly abandon Biden in a matchup with Trump.įor Trump, bleeding that amount of Republican support would represent a sharp increase compared with the already troubling level of the party’s vote he shed during his last race. The Times/Siena poll suggested that the fears of many Republican elites about a Trump candidacy may be well founded: He trailed Biden, 44% to 41%, in a hypothetical rematch of the 2020 contest, despite plummeting support for Biden, with voters nationwide giving him a perilously low 33% job-approval rating.Ī growing anyone-but-Trump vote inside the party contributed to Trump’s deficit, with 16% of Republicans saying that if he were the nominee, they would support Biden, would back a third-party candidate, wouldn’t vote at all or remained unsure what they would do. Trump’s troubles inside his party leave him hamstrung in a matchup against an unusually vulnerable incumbent. His share of the Republican primary electorate is less than Hillary Rodham Clinton’s among Democrats was at the outset of the 2016 race, when she was viewed as the inevitable front-runner but ultimately found herself embroiled in a protracted primary against Sen. The survey suggests that Trump would not necessarily enter a primary with an insurmountable advantage over rivals such as DeSantis. Should DeSantis and Trump face off in a primary, the poll suggested that support from Fox News could prove crucial: Trump held a 62% to 26% advantage over DeSantis among Fox News viewers, while the gap between the two Floridians was 16 points closer among Republicans who mainly receive their news from another source. Although 75% of primary voters said Trump was “just exercising his right to contest the election,” nearly 1 in 5 said he “went so far that he threatened American democracy.” 6, 2021, appears to have contributed to the decline in his standing, including among a small but important segment of Republicans who could form the base of his opposition in a potential primary contest. A clear majority of primary voters younger than 35, 64%, as well as 65% of those with at least a college degree - a leading indicator of political preferences inside the donor class - told pollsters they would vote against Trump in a presidential primary. (Ash Adams/The New York Times)Īs Donald Trump weighs whether to open an unusually early White House campaign, a New York Times/Siena College poll shows that his post-presidential quest to consolidate his support within the Republican Party has instead left him weakened, with nearly half the party’s primary voters seeking someone different for president in 2024 and a significant number vowing to abandon him if he wins the nomination.īy focusing on political payback inside his party instead of tending to wounds opened by his alarming attempts to cling to power after his 2020 defeat, Trump appears to have only deepened fault lines among Republicans during his yearlong revenge tour. Former President Donald Trump at a rally in Anchorage, Alaska, July 9, 2022.
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